Skip to content

[CHINASCOPE TODAY]

 

Latest Briefings Latest Hot Topics
Latest Analyses Latest Reports


Latest Perspectives

Unusual Silence in PLA Follows Arrest of Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli

As of January 29, more than five days have passed since Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli were brought down, the Chinese military as a whole has issued no public statement of support yet. By contrast, when former Central Military Commission (CMC) vice chairmen Xu Caihou and Guo Boxiong fell from power in 2014 and 2015, the military swiftly declared its “support for the central leadership’s decision” the following day.

Multiple sources close to the Chinese military say that officers and soldiers privately questioned whether detaining Zhang and Liu without publicly releasing evidence amounted to a political purge. This has seriously shaken confidence within the ranks in top-level decision-making and sparked strong discontent among personnel across several theater commands.

Military insiders further disclosed that a number of directives issued by the CMC have encountered widespread resistance at the grassroots level, leaving orders effectively unenforced. Among rank-and-file troops, some have even been heard referring to Xi Jinping as “Baozi,” a nickname commonly used by the public to mock him.

{Editor’s Note: Senior officials may fear that a large-scale purge of officers with close ties to Zhang and Liu is inevitable. As a result, even those who publicly express support may not avoid being targeted themselves.}

Source: NTDTV, January 30, 2026
https://www.ntdtv.com/gb/2026/01/29/a104061477.html

China Offers integrated RMB and foreign-currency cash Pool for multinational corporations

Recently, the People’s Bank of China and the State Administration of Foreign Exchange issued a notice expanding the integrated RMB and foreign-currency cash pooling scheme for multinational corporations from select pilot regions to nationwide implementation.

Previously, RMB and foreign-currency cash pools were regulated under separate systems, creating currency barriers and redundant accounts. Multinational companies often had to file complex applications and wait days—or even longer—to convert funds between RMB and foreign currencies.

Under the new policy, Chinese subsidiaries can independently manage cross-border funds within quotas approved by the People’s Bank of China, significantly easing domestic fund allocation constraints. This reform allows China operations to play a more active role in regional and cross-border treasury management, risk control, and strategic capital allocation, shifting them from a traditional “cost center” to an emerging decision-making hub.

Source: People’s Daily, January 29, 2026
https://world.people.com.cn/n1/2026/0129/c1002-40654876.html

Beijing Introduces Professional Titles for Robotics Industry

The Beijing Municipal Human Resources and Social Security Bureau recently issued the “Trial Measures for the Evaluation of Professional Titles in Robotics” (the “Measures”), establishing a dedicated robotics category within the engineering professional title system to better align talent evaluation with industry needs.

The Measures outline a full-chain, multi-tiered evaluation framework for robotics talent, organized into four key areas: core components, algorithms and software, complete machine design and manufacturing, and system integration and applications. This ensures a precise match between talent assessment and industrial demand. The professional title hierarchy is standardized across four levels—junior (assistant engineer), intermediate (engineer), senior (senior engineer), and top senior (principal senior engineer)—providing a clear, full-cycle career development pathway from emerging professionals to leading industry experts.

Source: People’s Daily, January 26, 2026
https://paper.people.com.cn/rmrb/pc/content/202601/26/content_30135671.html

Population Decline: Chinese People “Mysteriously Disappearing”

The article highlights China’s ongoing population decline, reporting that official data show the country’s population fell by 3.39 million in 2025, with just 7.92 million births — the lowest since modern record-keeping and comparable to levels seen during the Qing dynasty. China has now experienced four consecutive years in which annual deaths exceeded births. The sharp decline in births is attributed to economic pressures, high living costs, expensive housing and education, workplace challenges, and insufficient social safety nets, all of which discourage young people from marrying or having children.

The commentary also examines the wider consequences of this demographic downturn, warning that the erosion of China’s “demographic dividend” could negatively impact economic growth, domestic consumption, the housing market, and public finances. It questions the accuracy of official population figures, citing alternative estimates suggesting China’s actual population may be well below the government’s reported 1.4489 billion — potentially under 1 billion — based on leaked data, cremation statistics, and independent demographic analyses. The article frames the population decline as part of a deeper crisis that could profoundly affect China’s long-term prospects.

Source: Epoch Times, January 21, 2026
https://www.epochtimes.com/gb/26/1/20/n14680260.htm

Beijing Rehearses “Maritime Militia” Strategy Against Taiwan

China has increasingly employed fishing vessels as part of its so-called “maritime militia” strategy, using civilian boats to assert control at sea while creating legal and moral dilemmas for its opponents. In January 2026, Beijing assembled roughly 1,400 Chinese fishing vessels into a floating maritime barrier stretching about 320 kilometers—widely interpreted as a rehearsal for a potential blockade of Taiwan. Similar operations in the past have reportedly involved more than 2,000 vessels arranged in formations exceeding 400 kilometers in length.

Independent media commentator Wen Zhao outlined three tactics of this maritime militia strategy.

Version 1.0:
Chinese fishing boats deliberately crossed other countries’ maritime “red lines,” provoking responses from foreign maritime law-enforcement agencies. When vessels were detained or crews arrested, China’s coast guard intervened under the pretext of defending fishermen’s rights, leading to standoffs, ramming incidents, and water-cannon exchanges. In some cases, naval forces were drawn in, creating a three-layered escalation model—fishing boats, coast guard, then navy. This approach has been used since 2012 in areas such as Scarborough Shoal against the Philippines and tends to be effective against countries with weaker maritime enforcement capabilities.

Version 2.0:
Against stronger maritime enforcers such as Japan, Chinese fishing vessels shifted from symbolic legal presence to active provocation. These boats deliberately cut across or collide with foreign coast guard patrol vessels, especially when Chinese maritime law-enforcement ships are nearby. According to Japanese police, the fishing boats often make sudden turns to block enforcement vessels, and if collisions occur, Chinese operators film and selectively edit footage to support its propaganda narratives against the foreign “bully.”

Version 3.0:
This method involves massing large numbers of fishing vessels into coordinated formations to support a blockade of Taiwan or to obstruct U.S. and Japanese military intervention. These slow-moving, densely packed formations exploit a legal gray zone, as military forces cannot lawfully attack civilian vessels. U.S. think tanks, including the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS), have analyzed such scenarios and suggested countermeasures such as declaring military zone to prevent vessels from coming in, waiting for them to weaken due to fuel constraints, disrupting inter-vessel communications through electronic warfare, transiting the area before formations fully coalesce, or taking a detour route to bypass the formations.

Source: Gan Jing World, January 19, 2026
https://www.ganjingworld.com/video/1i8p0lkkjje6G3cHANsOJdBWk1n51c?playlist_id=1galt8gs0ti1LGq7DHJ5BZQ1q00p

Flying Cars Poised to Reshape Transportation as Commercial Use Nears, Chinese Report Says

China’s “Flying Car Development Report 2.0” report, released on January 19 by Tsinghua University’s School of Vehicle and Mobility, says the emergence of flying cars signals a major shift in the country’s low-altitude economy—from incremental tool innovation to a fundamental reshaping of the transportation ecosystem.

The report projects a surge in commercial deployment between 2025 and 2030, following a dual-track trajectory of specialized and mass-market applications. Initial adoption is expected in professional fields such as emergency rescue, law enforcement, and highway inspection. Consumer applications are set to roll out more gradually, beginning with tourism, followed by short-distance airport–city shuttles and intercity travel within urban clusters, while routine urban commuting remains a longer-term objective.

Technologically, the report highlights several bottlenecks to large-scale adoption, including payload range, airworthiness and safety certification, autonomous flight control, and propulsion systems. Advanced autonomy—especially for operations in dense urban airspace—is identified as a globally recognized requirement. While propulsion development is trending toward a mix of electric, hybrid, and hydrogen systems, the report notes that lightweight hybrid technologies capable of meeting emergency safety standards still require significant breakthroughs.

Source: Xinhua, January 21, 2026
https://www.news.cn/tech/20260120/233fdd2f80974d15b2db33035c01414e/c.html.

The Overseas Residence Status of Xi Jinping’s Family

According to an in-depth investigation by Bloomberg published in 2012, along with subsequent reporting, the overseas residency status of members of Xi Jinping’s family can be summarized as follows:

  • Qi Qiaoqiao (elder sister) and Deng Jiagui (brother-in-law): Both have been confirmed to hold Canadian permanent resident status. Qi Qiaoqiao and her daughter, Zhang Yannan, also possess Hong Kong permanent resident identity cards.
  • Xi An’an (second elder sister) and Wu Long (brother-in-law): The couple have long resided in Australia and have been identified by multiple media outlets as Australian permanent residents or citizens.
  • Xi Yuanping (younger brother): Xi Yuanping has publicly acknowledged living in Australia for work and family reasons. Verified information indicates that he holds Australian permanent residency as well as a Hong Kong permanent resident identity card.
  • Ke Lingling (former wife): Following their divorce, Ke Lingling emigrated to and settled in the United Kingdom.

At present, there is no public evidence that Xi Jinping himself holds significant overseas assets. Reported family wealth appears to be concentrated primarily in the hands of his elder sister Qi Qiaoqiao and brother-in-law Deng Jiagui. Although the family is said to have reduced certain assets after 2012 to mitigate political risk, their overseas residency statuses, offshore holdings, and extensive business ties continue to draw scrutiny and stand in stark contrast to Xi Jinping’s carefully cultivated image of personal probity and anti-corruption.

Source: Aboluo, January 24, 2026
https://hk.aboluowang.com/2026/0124/2338995.html

The Paper: Europe Begins Discussions on Developing Its Own Nuclear Weapons

Well-known new Chinese news site The Paper recently reported that, amidst escalating tensions between Europe and the United States, calls for nuclear autonomy are growing louder within Europe. Senior European officials have stated that European countries are questioning the reliability of the U.S. nuclear umbrella. European leaders are discussing whether they should rely more on nuclear-armed France and the United Kingdom than the United States, and even whether they should develop their own nuclear weapons.

European leaders’ discussions on how to defend against a nuclear-armed Russia without U.S. involvement were “both intense and productive,” with options including enhancing France’s nuclear capabilities, and redeploying French nuclear-capable bombers outside of France. Officials also indicated that proposals to provide non-nuclear-weapon European countries with relevant technological capabilities were under consideration as well.

These discussions could overturn decades of global efforts to reduce, rather than exacerbate, nuclear proliferation. There is currently a clear lack of mutual trust between Europe and the United States.

However, some commentators have expressed doubts about the prospects of European “nuclear autonomy.” They point out that France and the UK possess approximately 290 and 225 nuclear warheads respectively, which, even combined, cannot compare to the scale of the U.S. and Russia. Furthermore, the lack of maintenance and upgrades over decades makes it difficult to form an alternative to the U.S. nuclear umbrella. Furthermore, France and the UK will hold presidential and parliamentary elections in 2027 and 2029 respectively. If far-right forces in both countries come to power after the elections, the current government’s commitment to “nuclear independence” risks revocation.

Source: The Paper, January 23, 2026
https://www.thepaper.cn/newsDetail_forward_32448420